Soaring Food Prices Could Spread Unrest To Central Asia, Sub-Saharan Africa
"I'm concerned that higher food prices add to stress points and could add to the fragility that is already and always there any time you have revolutions and transitions," said Zoellick. "What I'm actually more concerned about is looking ahead. As you see, Egypt, Tunisia, Jordan, other societies, struggle to try to develop responses to these social and public pressures."
In the months since June 2010, 44 million people have fallen into poverty as a direct result of increasing food prices, according to World Bank Vice President for Poverty Reduction Otaviano Canuto.
In fact, "the increase over the last quarter is driven largely by increases in the price of sugar (20 percent), fats and oils (22 percent), wheat (20 percent), and maize (12 percent)," wrote Canuto.
Food prices are just three percentage points under the 2008 peak that saw bread riots across the world -- including the Middle East and North Africa.
Analysts are now concerned that spiking food prices will not only exacerbate poverty rates, but also stoke the fires of instability that have engulfed the Middle East.
"Central Asia is a region where these food prices have increased quite substantially. And given the poverty levels, people have a large percentage of their budget, 50 percent or higher, that will go to these purchases," said Zoellick.
Moreover, "In sub-Saharan Africa what we see now is not the same effects, but this is a part of the world where there's less margin for error or volatility. Incomes are low," said Zoellick.
The spike may be part of a longer trend, according to Zoellick, in part because of increasing demands for meat and biofuels like ethanol.
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