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College Football Week 3 Picks

Max Meyer, Mike Piellucci, Gabe Quintela, Marc Sallinger, Darian Nourian, Andrew Tweedy |
September 12, 2013 | 4:14 p.m. PDT

Staff Writers

 

Can Johnny Manziel lead to Texas A&M to a second straight win over Alabama? (Creative Commons)
Can Johnny Manziel lead to Texas A&M to a second straight win over Alabama? (Creative Commons)
This college football season has certainly had its crazy moments so far. In fact, none of our experts saw Washington State or BYU's upsets coming. Here's our Week 3 slate, and we lead off with one of the biggest college football games of the year. 

#1 Alabama at #6 Texas A&M

Max Meyer (@trojanmax12): Alabama 27, Texas A&M 21

Johnny Manziel and the Aggies won't be able to pull off the element of surprise again this year. There is no doubt that Nick Saban hasn't had nightmares throughout the offseason about Manziel ripping apart his vaunted defense. Even though the Crimson Tide are on the road, this will be a big statement win for them.

Mike Piellucci (@mikelikessports): Alabama 42, Texas A&M 24

I'm from Texas and have way too many friends who went to A&M. I've seen this dance before: Aggies raise expectations of fanbase; Aggies go into huge game with their chests puffed out; Aggies get crushed and the fan base quickly returns to doom and gloom. Rinse, and repeat. If there's anyone who can break that cycle, it's Johnny Manziel. But I think Alabama is going to win this game handily, leading to a cyclone of obnoxious Johnny Manziel-related coverage. 

Andrew Tweedy (@nyy_baseball): Alabama 31, Texas A&M 21

After Johnny Football's coming out party last year in Tuscaloosa, Nick Saban and the Crimson Tide are angry.  Saban has been looking forward to this game for a long time and no doubt has his team better prepared for Manziel's style of play.  Although Manziel will have a few shining moments in this game, he will not be able to lead the Aggies to victory on his home turf.

Marc Sallinger (@marcsallinger): Texas A&M 28, Alabama 24

The rematch of Johnny Manziel’s coming-out party a year ago promises to be the highlight of college football week three. A week after throwing for 403 yards and three touchdowns against Sam Houston State, Manziel and the Aggies face a much better Crimson Tide team that is looking for payback. Alabama quarterback AJ McCarron had a disappointing performance in the Tide’s last game two weeks ago against Virginia Tech, throwing for only 110 yards with one TD and one interception. Alabama WR Christian Jones returned a punt and a kick for touchdowns the last time the Crimson Tide took the field, greatly helping ‘Bama fight to a win against the Hokies. If Johnny Football and the rest of the Aggies play like we saw them play a year ago, they will come away with a close win at home against a rebuilt Alabama offensive line that is still looking to gain its footing. 

Darian Nourian (@dariannourian24): Alabama 32, Texas A&M 24

All eyes will be on 2012 Heisman trophy winner Johnny Manziel. Although Nick Saban's team will be playing this grudge match on the road rather than Tuscaloosa, Alabama is going to have a chip on their shoulder to avenge last year's loss. 

Gabe Quintela (@gabequintela11): Alabama 31, Texas A&M 28

The result of this game will obviously come down to Alabama’s ability to contain Johnny Manziel, something they were unable to do last year. With teams slowly figuring out how to defend against the Heisman trophy winner, (Florida and LSU were able to do it for a half) I think Alabama will have solid defensive scheme coming into it. The outcome, on the other hand, will come down to execution. 

#16 UCLA at #23 Nebraska

Max: UCLA 35, Nebraska 31

In a battle of the dual-threat quarterbacks in Brett Hundley and Taylor Martinez, I think UCLA's defense is the big edge in this game. Additionally, don't forget about the awful death of Nick Pasquale. Teams tend to rise the occasion and come together as one the game after a tragedy. 

Mike: UCLA 31, Nebraska 28

Taylor Martinez has been the Huskers' starting quarterback for four years, and yet there still is no safe barometer for what to expect on a given week. Meanwhile, all Brett Hundley does is deliver week after week, and he's a better quarterback than this time last year, when he accounted for 358 yards of offense plus four touchdowns against Nebraska. I'm betting on a repeat, with UCLA narrowly topping a big effort from Ameer Abdullah.

Andrew: Nebraska 34, UCLA 31

UCLA QB Brett Hundley made a name for himself last year after the Bruins' surprisingly successful 2012 season.  He could post big numbers against Nebraska's young defense, but dynamic Nebraska QB Taylor Martinez will keep this game close until the end. I see him putting together a game-winning drive in the last two minutes to edge out UCLA.

Marc: UCLA 21, Nebraska 17

UCLA will face a battle with not only the No. 23 Nebraska Cornhuskers, but also with their emotions as they step on the field this Saturday for the first time since the death of teammate Nick Pasquale. Although it’s impossible to say how such a tragedy will affect a team, a young UCLA roster must avoid becoming overwhelmed by emotions and instead dedicate their on-field performance to their fallen teammate. The Bruins will rely heavily on QB Brett Hundley, who is coming off an impressive performance in the opener against Nevada. Hundley went 22 for 33 for 274 yards. Nebraska quarterback Taylor Martinez will look to avenge last year’s fourth-quarter loss to UCLA, where he went just 17 for 31, but ran for 112 yards. At the end of the day, UCLA will rally the troops and pull out an emotional and much-needed win in Lincoln. 

Darian: Nebraska 42, UCLA 28

The Cornhuskers just simply do not lose often at their home Memorial Stadium. They are coming off a huge 56-13 victory over Southern Miss last Saturday and have been putting up 40-plus points in Taylor Martinez's 15 career starts before October. 

Gabe: UCLA 35, Nebraska 28

This is definitely a hard pick for me, and while I always want to pick against UCLA, I think ultimately their defense is better. Both teams have explosive offenses and it’ll come down to which team is able to contain the opposing quarterback more effectively. Coming off a bye week and having time to prepare for a dual-threat quarterback in Taylor Martinez, I believe UCLA has the advantage. 

Will Lane Kiffin's seat get even hotter this week against Boston College? (Creative Commons)
Will Lane Kiffin's seat get even hotter this week against Boston College? (Creative Commons)
#20 Wisconsin at Arizona State

Max: Arizona State 31, Wisconsin 21

Taylor Kelly's arm will give Wisconsin's struggling secondary some major problems. Also, Big 10 teams have not performed well over the past 15 years when traveling to face a Pac-12 foe. 

Mike: Arizona State 24, Wisconsin 21

I'm not as high as many are on this ASU team, and I so badly want to believe that Wisconsin will take this one. I can't, though, for two reasons that so often do the Badgers in: a lack of team speed, and undependable quarterbacking. Couple that with the Sun Devils playing at home in the searing Arizona heat, and that's enough for me to reluctantly side with Sun Devils in what was the toughest game to pick on this slate.

Andrew: Arizona State 28, Wisconsin 24

Although not much can be said about ASU's 55-0 dismantling of Sacramento State last week, QB Taylor Kelly looked very impressive throwing the deep ball.  Wisconsin's weakness is their secondary, and I think they will allow too many big plays and leave the desert without a victory.

Marc: Wisconsin 38, Arizona 28

This game features two teams who are not only undefeated, but also teams that have yet to allow any points scored against them in the 2013 season. Granted, the opponents that both teams have faced makes the stat quite deceiving, but both defenses look very solid coming into this matchup. Wisconsin’s running game seems to be their greatest weapon so far this season. Running backs James White, Melvin Gordon and Corey Clement have each broken the 100-yard mark in every game so far, and the team is averaging 390 rushing yards per game. Compare this to the Sun Devil’s run defense, which was ranked tenth in the Pac-12 last year and you can see where Wisconsin’s clear advantage comes in. Another factor that must be evaluated is the predicted game time temperature in Tempe, a toasty 102 degrees. Wisconsin comes away with a well-fought victory on the road. 

Darian: Arizona State 38, Wisconsin 35

This game is one of the more evenly matched games on this week's schedule. While Wisconsin has a powerful running game, they also have an unexperienced secondary that ASU quarterback Taylor Kelly should be able take apart. Therefore, the advantage goes to the home team here, as the Sun Devils are 8-0 all-time at home against Big Ten Opponents. 

Gabe: Arizona State 28, Wisconsin 20

I’m going for it; Arizona State at home in the desert, with a mild 100+ degree kickoff temperature will be too much for Wisconsin. Taylor Kelly is very good, he threw for 300 yards and five touchdowns last week. The pass offense of the Sun Devils matches up well with Wisconsin’s weakness in the secondary. 

#25 Ole Miss at Texas

Max: Ole Miss 24, Texas 17

So Texas already has their star offensive player, Daje Johnson, out for this game and their starting quarterback, David Ash, may not play either. This is the same Texas team that gave up over 550 rushing yards to BYU last week. I have seen nothing from this team that makes me believe that they can beat a talented  Ole Miss team. 

Mike: Texas 35, Ole Miss 20

Let's try this again. Last week, I swore that Texas could not lose to BYU because there was just too much talent. We know how that turned out. But this time the Longhorns are at home, they're angry and the vultures are circling Mack Brown. All of that's enough to make me think that Texas can't blow this the way they did against BYU... can they?

Andrew: Ole Miss 28, Texas 17

Texas suffered a big loss last week to BYU and they won't rebound against Ole Miss.  Longhorns receiver Daje Johnson is out with an ankle injury and QB David Ash is questionable.  With the Texas program under the microscope of the nation given their recent struggles, No. 25 Ole Miss will bring their young defense into Austin and thwart the Longhorns in a huge win.

Marc: Ole Miss 35, Texas 21

A week after Texas was humiliated by BYU, the Longhorns look to turn their season around against an undefeated Ole Miss team. Texas head coach Mack Brown replaced defensive coordinator Manny Diaz with Greg Robinson after the Longhorn defense gave up a school-record 550 rushing yards last week. Will this new Texas defense be able to stand up to Ole Miss’ impressive running game? Doubtful. Rebels running back Jeff Scott is averaging 10.4 yards a carry this season, combined with quarterback duo Bo Wallace and Barry Brunetti, who have five rushing touchdowns between them so far. Coupled with the worrying stats against Texas, Longhorn QB David Ash is questionable this week after leaving the BYU game with a neck and shoulder injury. Also, star RB/WR Daje Johnson has been ruled out with an ankle injury. All odds stack up against Texas, and Ole Miss should come away with a predictable win in Austin. 

Darian: Texas 24, Ole Miss 17

If Mack Brown wants to keep his job, this is a must-win game for the Longhorns. Regardless of who is at quarterback for Texas, whether it is a banged up David Ash or senior Case McCoy, they are going to need to be protected by their offensive line, which struggled against BYU. With the Rebels lacking in pass defense, Texas should be able to move the ball on offense and make big plays down the field. 

Gabe: Ole Miss 28, Texas 14

Texas looked bad last week. With a banged up defense and a possibility of losing starting quarterback David Ash to a head injury, it doesn’t seem promising that they’ll play better against Ole Miss. Texas gave up 550 rushing yards to BYU last weekend and Ole Miss running back Barry Brunetti is coming off a 100+ yard rushing performance, averaging about six yards a carry. Ole Miss will be too much for Texas this week. 

Boston College at USC

Max: USC 24, Boston College 10

Call me crazy, but I think USC is covering their 13.5 point spread this week. Boston College may have two wins, but they came against very weak teams in Villanova and Wake Forest. Lane Kiffin will open up the offense this week, and Boston College's defense has not faced an offense with as much talent as USC's yet. 

Mike: USC 31, Boston College 14

I have to believe that Lane Kiffin will open up his offense this week with Cody Kessler installed under center, largely because it couldn't have gotten any more conservative against WSU. It also bodes well for USC that BC's biggest strength - running the ball - plays into USC's, only the Trojans have much better athletes. The defense again racks up the turnovers, Marqise Lee goes for 150 yards and two touchdowns, and the "Fire Kiffin" circus closes the tents for at least one week in a comfortable Trojans win.

Andrew: USC 21, Boston College 14

It won't be easy, but Cody Kessler may just pull the Trojans to victory on Saturday.  A full week of taking first-string snaps could have Kessler's confidence under center rising.  Lost in all the QB and "Fire Kiffin" controversies has been the exceptional play of USC's defense. So, if the Trojans are to win this game, they will have to depend on the strength of their defense.

Marc: USC 21, Boston College 14

After losing to a team that went 3-9 last year in their home opener, it’s hard to have much faith that the Trojans can pull out a win against an undefeated Boston College team. However, a couple of things line up in favor of the Trojans that offer a splinter of hope. Having picked a full-time starting QB, Lane Kiffin can now focus on developing the playbook and creating unity within the team. The Trojan running game, led by Tre Madden, looked fairly solid again last week despite the loss, leading the main need for improvement at the quarterback position and the receiving corps. Marqise Lee will have to find a way to beat heavy coverage, as it is now his turn to step up and fire up a Trojan win. One would also have to imagine that Lane Kiffin is on his last string as head coach, making this game much more important if he wants to have a paycheck next year. I’ll stick with the Trojans this week, but it’s come down to desperate measures at the Coliseum. 

Darian: USC 17, Boston College 7

I don't see the USC offense playing any worse than it did last week, and now that Kiffin has named a starting quarterback, things should mesh a little better against the Eagles. Although BC quarterback Chase Rettig has a pro-style arm, the Trojan defense should be able to put pressure on him all day, disrupting their offense. 

Gabe: USC 21, Boston College 14

I’m keeping faith for a couple more weeks. Now that Cody Kessler has been given the opportunity to take first-team reps for an entire week and assuming that play-calling improves, USC’s defense will play well enough to keep the Trojans in the game. 

SEASON STANDINGS

1. Max 3-2

1. Darian 3-2

3. Marc 2-3

4. Gabe 1-4

4. Mike 1-4

4. Andrew 1-4



 

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