Super Bowl 2013: The Best Prop Bets

The odds dictate that even the smartest prop bets will likely result in a loss. But damn, are they fun. Even though betting on how long Alicia Keys' rendition of National Anthem will be or whether Jay-Z will join Beyonce is exciting, this article will be looking at only football prop bets.
After going five for five last year, here are our 10 favorite prop bets, the ones that we think have a great chance of actually paying off.
Max's Winners:
1. One Team Will Have Three Unanswered Scores (-160)
Since 1990, there have been 22 Super Bowls played. A team has scored three consecutive times in 16 of those games. Also, while the San Francisco 49ers have been playing strong football lately, they've also been streaky.
The last time the 49ers played in a game in which one team didn't have three unanswered scores was all the way back in Week 13 of the regular season. These teams both have dangerous, yet inconsistent offenses, so it's certainly reasonable to think that one team can have one dominant period in the game.
2. Vernon Davis Will Have Over 3.5 Receptions (-105)
Admittedly, this bet is dangerous. Before the NFC Conference Championship game, the last time Vernon Davis had over two receptions was Week 11. That's in the middle of November.
However, I still love this bet because the Ravens have trouble covering over the middle of the field. In all three playoff games, they've given up at least four receptions to a tight end. This includes the nine catches Aaron Hernandez had against them in the AFC Conference Championship Game. Do you really expect Ray Lewis and his bionic arm to be able to cover an athletic freak in Davis?
Also, after being down 17-0 to the Atlanta Falcons two weeks ago, something clicked between Colin Kaepernick and Davis. Kaepernick realized that he needs to include Davis in the offensive game plan to succeed against top competition. Expect Davis to be involved early and often, and to surpass his projected reception total.
3. There Will Be A Lead Change In The Second Half (+170)
In the last five Super Bowls, four of them have had lead changes in the second half. Both teams played in Conference Championship games that featured a lead change after halftime as well.
With each team's ability to strike quickly, there will be a lot of scores. Considering that this Super Bowl is projected to be a close game (49ers are favored by 3.5 points), this bet makes a lot of sense.
4. Joe Flacco Will Have Over 1.5 Touchdown Passes (-105)
Flacco had 22 touchdown passes in the regular season, which averages out to just under 1.5 per game. Hence, that's how Vegas created this line.
What Vegas didn't account for was how well Flacco has been playing of late. Excluding the Week 17 game against Cincinnati in which he rested for most of the game, Flacco has had at least two touchdown passes in six consecutive games.
Also, because of the 49ers stout defense, especially near the goal line, Flacco will most likely have to use his arm to reach the end zone.
It's amazing how one game can boost a line up so much. Thanks to Kaepernick's game against the Green Bay Packers, this line is simply too high.
In Kaepernick's nine starts, he's eclipsed 50 rushing yards three times. In his last five games, he's rushed for over 31 yards just once (the Packers game). The Falcons shut down Kaepernick on the ground two weeks ago, and there is no way the Ravens will let Kaepernick beat them with his legs.
Additionally, the Ravens played against Michael Vick and Robert Griffin III this season. They held both quarterbacks to under 35 rushing yards.
Ryan's Winners:
1. Both Teams Will Make Field Goals Of At Least 33 Yards (+155)
This one speaks for itself. Both teams will be nervous and a bit conservative, especially early on. I believe that this bet will pay out, quite possibly in the first half and maybe even by the end of the first quarter.
2. Colin Kaepernick’s First Pass Will Be Incomplete (+165)
My prop bets for this article have a running theme: NERVES. As stated, I believe that both teams will be nervous to start the game, especially second-year quarterback Colin Kaepernick. His first few passes in the Green Bay game were simply atrocious. He looked better to start the Atlanta game, but the pressure of the Super Bowl will weigh heavily on him in the beginning of the game.
3. The First Kickoff Of Super Bowl XLVII Will Not Result In A Touchback (+150)
This one is a bit of a stretch, but hear me out. If the ball is not kicked completely out of the end zone, the guy who catches it is going to want to make a play, regardless of which team gets the ball first. It’s the opening play of the game, and these guys are born risk takers. If the ball isn’t absolutely boomed out of bounds, this bet is a winner.
4. One Team Will Make A Field Goal In The First Quarter (Even)
It’s a running theme people. There will be big plays, but I firmly believe that one (or both) of these teams will have a decent drive that stalls. This will result in the Ravens or 49ers going conservative and settling for three points.
And for my longshot prop bet pick:
5. Will Joe Flacco Will Score A Touchdown (+600)
I feel this one is a lot better bet than the +600 indicates and that’s why I chose it. For many reasons, the Ravens love to throw the ball down on the goal line. We all know that, including the San Francisco 49ers. Look for the 49ers to flood the end zone with guys dropping back into pass coverage and for “Cool” Joe Flacco to take it in himself.
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