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California's Primary Might Play A Role Leading Up To The Republican Convention

Jackie Mansky |
March 22, 2012 | 4:24 p.m. PDT

Staff reporter

California polling place (Courtesy of Creative Commons)
California polling place (Courtesy of Creative Commons)
Coming out of his strong win in Illinois on Tuesday, former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney is now about halfway towards the magic number of delegates needed to win the Republican nomination going into the Republican Convention in August.

Still, Romney has a ways to go before he achieves the 1,144 delegates needed to secure his nomination. And with the way the delegate count is playing out, California’s primary might play a role in deciding whether or not there is a brokered convention.

Because California’s GOP primary is one of the later primaries, held on June 5, it has historically held less sway than earlier primaries, such as the Iowa or New Hampshire.

However, this year, with Rick Santorum and Newt Gingrich still hanging on, California’s primary will most likely play some role in determining the GOP nominee.

While many early primaries are structured so that the state’s delegates are split between the candidates, California and many other of the later primaries have a winner-take-all system.

That means almost all of California’s 172 delegates will go towards one candidate, which is expected to be Romney.

While, Santorum’s base is expected to be mostly residents of inland counties and self-described born-again Christians, Romney is expected to pick up the younger vote, the coastal vote and the vote of those who are not strongely tied to the tea party, reported the Huffington Post.

Historically a more liberal state, California has already indicated its support towards Romney, the most liberal GOP candidate according to a field poll of California Republicans released in February.  The poll showed that two-thirds of the Californians who responded favored Romney over the rest of the Republican field.

Former Gov. Pete Wilson, in addition to seven U.S. Represenatatives and seven state senators, has publically endorsed Romney, according to Romney's official website.

Still, The Sacremento Bee reported that Santorum’s campaign is already starting to look towards California in hopes that a victory would help broker the convention.

However, the primaries are a numbers game, and based on data from the Chicago Tribune, Romney will secure California and pull ahead with the number of delegates needed to secure his nomination before the Republican Convention.

Reach Staff Reporter Jackie Mansky here



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