A new FiveThirtyEight analysis gives Republicans only an 18 percent chance of gaining control of the Senate, but there’s better news for Republicans on the other side of the Hill. A new Reuters-Ipsos poll found that voters are more likely to vote Republican by a margin of 48-44 percent, and that gap will likely give Republicans control of the House. 

Are female candidates having trouble connecting with women? NY Times 

Senate Majority leader Harry Reid’s new ad says Republican Sharon Angle is wild: Politico 

Delaware Republican Christine O’Donnell, who squared off against Chris Coons Wednesday in a debate for the Senate, says she no longer has the support of the Republican party: Politico

(Maybe it’s because she couldn’t name a Supreme Court case?)

Voters are more likely to see Democrats as extremists: The Hill 

The Oregon governor’s race is a dead heat, according to the latest polls: KGW 

The race is also tightening in Chicago: Fox Chicago 

For President Obama, the next chapter begins on Election Day – and he’s ready for “Obama 2.0” NYT Magazine 

Obama will continue his push to reinvigorate young voters with a town-hall special on MTV this afternoon: MTV 

And he’s right to try to revive that enthusiasm, it seems, as an Associated Press-mtvU poll shows that only 44 percent of students approve of Obama’s performance, down from 60 percent in May 2009: Huffington Post 

Michelle Obama’s on the campaign trail, too, trying to get Democratic voters to the polls. She appeared in Milwaukee on Wednesday to campaign for Senator Russ Feingold: NY Times 

United and divided: “The issues we face — global warming, worldwide recession, international conflicts — grow larger while our public lives shrink to the size of our specific communities.” Bill Bishop

The Tea Party is here to stay: Yes, the tea party has a pedigree as old as our nation, and yes, we think it is likely to continue to play a significant role in politics after Nov. 2. People in both parties who hope to wish it away and continue business as usual had better think twice.” Ed Feulner and Sen. Jim Demint 

Reach news editor Alexandra Tilsley here. Follow her on Twitter: @atilsley.

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