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Obama Leads Race Entering Last Days Of Campaign

Michael Juliani |
November 3, 2012 | 2:00 p.m. PDT

Assistant News Editor

Obama making presidential calls in 2009.  (Flickr Creative Commons)
Obama making presidential calls in 2009. (Flickr Creative Commons)

Without question, things are looking good for President Obama on Saturday as the presidential campaign enters its last three days.

Though he faces an opponent who has gained more adamant support than previous GOP opponent John McCain, Obama holds a six-point lead in likely voters over Mitt Romney in pivotal swing state Ohio and a two-point lead in Florida, according to NBC News.

An Ohio win for Obama--which seems to be close to a sure thing--will necessitate a heroic comeback from Romney.  And if Romney also loses Florida, he's done. Obama could lose every other battleground state if he wins Florida.

The Tampa Bay Times has Romney in the Florida lead.  Both the T.B. Times and NBC News reports that Florida voters trust Romney's economic plans more than Obama's, and the economy is undoubtedly the major issue of this election.

New York Times wiz Nate Silver explains clearly how his math shows that Romney's 16-percent chance of winning the election at this point can only reflect a possible bias in the polls against the Republican candidate.

"Yes, of course: most of the arguments that the polls are necessarily biased against Mr. Romney reflect little more than wishful thinking," Silver wrote.

"Nevertheless, these arguments are potentially more intellectually coherent than the ones that propose that the leader in the race is 'too close to call.'  It isn't.  If the state polls are right, then Mr. Obama will win the Electoral College.  If you can't acknowledge that after a day when Mr. Obama leads 19 out of 20 swing-state polls, then you should abandon the pretense that your goal is to inform rather than entertain the public."

The president has a stronghold on early voters but lags behind Romney in polls for Election Day voter support.  NBC said that 63 percent have already voted in Florida and 35 percent have in Ohio.

The Romney campaign is still wrestling in Pennsylvania, which has been a blue state in recent memory.  Earlier in the week, the Democrats pointed to this and the Republican involvement in Minnesota as evidence that Romney's backpedaling in desperation.

Obama has been riding a wave of support he's received for his handling of Hurricane/Superstorm Sandy and faced jabs from Republicans like Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal who, ironically, criticize the president for politicizing the issue.

The president's spokespeople are highlighting how he spends every moment offstage and off-camera on the phone with state and local officials trying to help with storm recovery services.  One went so far as to say that he is "losing his voice" doing so, according to the Washington Times.  

While answering questions Saturday about the connection between Sandy and the last days of his campaign, Obama said that one of the disaster's good results was "leaders of different political parties working together to fix what's broken."

New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie praised Obama earlier in the week for his leadership in relief efforts, but the president is finding that the effort will be more difficult than expected.  Millions on the east coast remain without power, gas shortages have made the matters worse and areas like Staten Island and the New Jersey coast are still in need of help.

"Obviously we have now seen that after the initial search and rescue that the recovery process is difficult, it's painful," Obama said.  "But I'm confident that we will continue to make progress as long as state and local and federal officials stay focused.  There is nothing more important than us getting this right."

But the Washington Times claimed that the president didn't answer reporters' questions about helping people in still-desperate areas like Staten Island.

As the campaign gets increasingly intense (and/or dire), the rhetoric becomes as abstract and emotional as possible.  Obama and Romney are arguing over who will truly be the agent of change in the next four years, with Romney trying to show that the last four years have not been what Obama promised they would be.  

With the release of the jobs report Friday, Romney has formulated the argument that the president is anti-business and incapable of understanding the job market.  He said that the contradictory numbers in the report--which showed an unemployment rate of 7.9 percent as well as the addition of 171,000 jobs--only highlights a "virtual standstill" in the economy, according to Fox News.

"Unless we change course, we may well be looking at another recession," Romney said, while also claiming to be the true agent of change as a man of business.

Obama laughed off the Republican's claims while in Ohio: "We know what change looks like, and what the governor's offering aint it."

ABC News reported that 55 percent of Americans think the country is headed in the wrong direction.  They said, however, that this isn't bad news for Obama, because George W. Bush had an even lower approval rating going into his second election and still won.  

The president will spend the weekend--of course--in swing states: Ohio, Wisconsin, Iowa, Virginia, New Hampshire, Florida, Ohio and Colorado--in that order.  He'll finish up in Aurora, Colorado, the site of the movie theater shooting this summer.

All Friday night, voters who get emails from the president's campaign were reminded that this was their last chance to donate.

On Monday, Obama will conclude his campaign with Bruce Springsteen and Jay-Z in Madison, Wisconsin and Columbus, Ohio, and will then join the First Lady for one last rally in Des Moines, Iowa.  

Read more of Neon Tommy's coverage of the 2012 Presidential election here.

Reach Assistant News Editor Michael Juliani here.



 

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